From the category archives:

Economics

Income, Taxes, and Value Neutrality

March 5, 2010

Despite my post about the troubles with GDP below, GDP per capita remains a very useful rough estimate of a country’s standard of living. In my happiness research paper, I included  a section defending economic measures like GDP against the charge that measures of money reflect especially “materialist” priorities. On the contrary, I argued, measuring [...]

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GDP, Welfare, and the Composition of Government Spending

March 1, 2010

David Henderson has an excellent essay on “GDP Fetishism” up at EconLib. Of the problem of valuing government spending, he writes:
Take the first inaccuracy—the valuing of government-provided goods and services at cost rather than at market prices. Many government programs actually destroy value rather than create it.
This highlights the fact that knowing how much the [...]

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The Middle-Class Stagnation Canard

January 12, 2010

In a post yesterday, Kevin Drum signed on to a conjecture from Raghuram Rajan that stagnating middle-class incomes are partly to blame for the recession and the financial sector blowout. The insuperable problem with this conjecture is that middle-class incomes have not been stagnating. Over at Progressive Fix, Scott Winship lays down the data and reminds [...]

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Bernanke and the Pringles Problem

December 17, 2009

In response to this question:
Why haven’t you adopted a 3% per year inflation target?
Fed chair and Man of the Year Ben Bernanke said this:
The public’s understanding of the Federal Reserve’s commitment to price stability helps to anchor inflation expectations and enhances the effectiveness of monetary policy, thereby contributing to stability in both prices and economic [...]

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Good Questions from Casey Mulligan

December 17, 2009

To recap, New Keynesians tell us that income and labor usage increase when something reduces labor supply at the individual level, as long as the nominal interest rate does not adjust upward.
This miracle is exactly what centuries of tax collectors have dreamed about. They could take a larger share of the economic pie and in doing so [...]

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When You’re in a Liquidity Trap…

December 16, 2009

Here’s a fun game to play. Somebody says, “When you’re in a liquidity trap” … and then everybody shouts out moronic advice and wildly counterintuitive assertions. The first person to say something that really cracks everybody up wins!
Let’s try, shall we?
When you’re in a liquidity trap…

Klingon speakers suffer sexual exhaustion.
try horizontal stripes!
the standard meter is [...]

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The Triumph of Austrian Economics (in Tony Judt’s Mind)

December 10, 2009

Does this sound as bizarre to you as it does to me?
If we ask who exercised the greatest influence over contemporary Anglophone economic thought, five foreign-born thinkers spring to mind: Ludwig von Mises, Friedrich Hayek, Joseph Schumpeter, Karl Popper, and Peter Drucker. The first two were the outstanding “grandfathers” of the Chicago School of free-market [...]

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Some Game Theory of Innovation

December 9, 2009

Folks, listen to Angus:
Class, repeat after me:
(1). Green jobs are NOT a zero sum game where nations are competing for a fixed number of them.
(2). If China or Germany or anyone develops “innovative energy technology”, that is NOT bad for us.  It is in fact *awesome* for us, as we can then adopt it and [...]

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Geithner Says Obama’s Political Strategy Hurt the Economy

December 4, 2009

Over at Division of Labor, Frank Stephenson points to an interview in which the Secretary of the Treasury says this:
GEITHNER: They want — businesses want certainty. They need certainty so they can make long-term plans today. And that’s why it’s so important that Congress gets health care behind us, that we bring financial reform in [...]

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Anything at All?

November 30, 2009

Brad DeLong writes:
At this point, anything that boosts the government’s deficit over the next two years passes the benefit-cost test–anything at all.
30,000 more troops to Afghanistan? Anything?
He says it with special emphasis, as though he’s not goofing. But is it even possible to take a claim like that seriously?

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The Utility and Justice of TARP

November 20, 2009

Yglesias says:
I believe that absent the [TARP] bailout, we’d be looking at even higher unemployment today.
I think this is a plausible claim. But I don’t know of a satisfactory way to evaluate it. It’s plausible because some plausible theories about the nature of the financial economy and its interaction with the real economy imply its [...]

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See the World More Like Elinor Ostrom

October 19, 2009

What lessons should we glean from Elinor Ostrom’s body of work? Here’s my take, from Saturday’s Ottawa Citizen. A snippet:
To see the world more like Elinor Ostrom is to see each public policy like a real-world experiment. Policies are implemented because they are predicted to have certain beneficial effects. But even experts are fallible. We [...]

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Ostrom on Commons Problems

October 13, 2009

Here’s a nice summary of Elinor Ostrom’s work on voluntary solutions to commons problems from Ilya Somin:
Ostrom’s theories are often seen as an alternative to traditional libertarian thought, which emphasizes the importance of private property and markets. However, it actually fits well with libertarianism defined more broadly as advocacy of the superiority of private sector [...]

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Nobel Prizes

October 12, 2009

As a lapsed member of the International Society for the New Institutional Economics, I’m extremely pleased by this year’s awards to Oliver Williamson and Lin Ostrom. The message I would like to believe the Nobel committee is sending is that the study of real institutions and organizations has been undervalued, and that models without empiricism [...]

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Music to My Ears

September 24, 2009

Roman Frydman and Michael Goldberg at the FT’s Economist’s Forum:
Behavioural economists have uncovered much evidence that market participants do not act like conventional economists would predict “rational individuals” to act. But, instead of jettisoning the bogus standard of rationality underlying those predictions, behavioral economists have clung to it. They interpret their empirical findings to mean [...]

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New at Cato Unbound: Scott Sumner on the Monetary Flubs that Caused the Crash

September 14, 2009

This month’s edition of Cato Unbound on “The Monetary Lessons of the Not-So-Great Depression” kicks off with a probing, provocative essay by headliner Scott Sumner, “The Real Problem Was Nominal.” He says things like this:
We cannot hope to understand what happened late last year without first recognizing that the proximate cause of the crash was [...]

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Causes of the Crisis

September 13, 2009

Critical Review has started a new blog “Causes of the Crisis” featuring contributors to the journal’s stellar issue on the topic. The papers in CRs special issue add up to the best and most comprehensive autopsy of the financial collapse available anywhere. The blog looks terrific too. Some excerpts…
David Colander:
Using models within economics or within [...]

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Flaws and Frictions

September 7, 2009

I was pretty impressed with much of Krugman’s NYT Magazine magnum opus. Macro is a mess. Now, this isn’t what Krugman was saying, but I think his account of the disagreements on fundamental questions exposes macro as a proto-science at best.
Economics, as a field, got in trouble because economists were seduced by the vision of [...]

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The Trouble with Public Choice: Too Generous to Politicians

August 26, 2009

Matt Yglesias recently admitted in a blog post to increasing bafflement about “the high degree cynicism and immorality displayed in big-time politics.” Today Matt says some libertarians “responded to that post by deciding they should be condescending and give me a little less in Public Choice Economics 101. That, however, misunderstands what I’m trying to say [...]

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You Got Morals in My Economics!

August 26, 2009

Economics, qua social science, is not a normative field. But much of the drive to understand how social interaction works is to give advice about policy. However, giving advice implies a standard for determining what counts as good advice, some kind of value theory. This is inconvenient for economists, who want badly to make policy [...]

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Gregory Clark Uses Computer over Phone, Predicts “Economic Redundancy” of Working Class

August 9, 2009

Gregory Clark’s basic assumption would seem to be that some people are born idiots. His argument in this Washington Post op-ed goes something like this: real wages of idiots have not increased because the demand for idiot labor has fallen due to the rise of the machines. Soon, the machines will be able to do [...]

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The Value of Savings

August 5, 2009

Riffing off my response to Chait, Free Exchange’s Washington-based blogger writes:
Suppose you made a million dollars and you put all but $50,000 of it in a shoebox. Now suppose that you never lose the box, never spend it, and leave it all to the dog when you die. What good did the $950,000 do you? [...]

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Why I Love Scott Sumner

August 4, 2009

I love his long post on my paper. But much more than that, I love that he’s willing to write a post denying scientific realism by way of arguing for abolishing the concept of price inflation.
That said, I wish Scott would give up in his Rortyian antirealism, which is false. It may also help to [...]

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Efficiencies of Specialization

July 14, 2009

If you ever catch anyone minimizing the potential for gains from specialization, this video is an illustrative antidote.

Kottke, via Graeme Wood.

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Economic Expertise and Moral Mathematics

June 4, 2009

Ryan Avent, following up on Ezra’s post on the policy prestige of economists in general and benefit/cost analysis in particular, writes:
[I]f we can’t use cost-benefit, how do we make these decisions? How in hell do we figure out which trade-offs are sound ones and which are damaging to society on net? To the economist, and [...]

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