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While large banks were mis-reading CDO risk, government was funding no-money-down loans through the FHA, extending an implicit backstop to Fannie and Freddie, and trumpeting how good it was that homeownership levels were so high.

Is it truly likely that a government entity will have a more accurate viewpoint on an economic situation than the majority of market participants?

I think it is likely that government regulation is useful for correcting the few outliers in terms of risk, but is unlikely to be ahead of the majority of market participants.

If government was ahead of participants, they could simply quit the government and take an opposite market position and make lots of $$$

“The heart has reasons that reason cannot know.”

Oh, and a close reading of any great novelist would be salutary. Or reflection on a busted love affair.

if for a moment, however, we allow for the possibility that we all have different indifference curves and value all these things at different levels, then, as frydman and goldberg state, it might, “require policymakers to exercise discretion, rather than simply rely on fixed rules.”

of course, those with the most powerful voices in the public policy process like having fixed rules. it allows them to better plan their strategies and allocate their resources most efficiently. perhaps the rational operation of the political market will forever be an obstacle the the rational operations of all other markets.