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	<title>Comments on: Animal Spirits and Positional Ambition</title>
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	<link>http://www.willwilkinson.net/flybottle/2009/02/28/animal-spirits-and-positional-ambition/</link>
	<description>The Sweet Release of Reason</description>
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		<title>By: Att få det bättre än andra &#171; Nonicoclolasos</title>
		<link>http://www.willwilkinson.net/flybottle/2009/02/28/animal-spirits-and-positional-ambition/comment-page-1/#comment-589394</link>
		<dc:creator>Att få det bättre än andra &#171; Nonicoclolasos</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 30 Mar 2009 05:27:36 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.willwilkinson.net/flybottle/?p=2994#comment-589394</guid>
		<description>[...] Will Wilkinson påpekar ett problem med denna typ av policyrekommendation: [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] Will Wilkinson påpekar ett problem med denna typ av policyrekommendation: [...]</p>
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		<title>By: Paul G. Brown</title>
		<link>http://www.willwilkinson.net/flybottle/2009/02/28/animal-spirits-and-positional-ambition/comment-page-1/#comment-587892</link>
		<dc:creator>Paul G. Brown</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 01 Mar 2009 16:04:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.willwilkinson.net/flybottle/?p=2994#comment-587892</guid>
		<description>Not sure. Not all mistakes and errors are harmful. Failure teaches. &lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;I rather think that we need to be constantly mindful of the need to minimize the scope or extent of the harm, rather than prevent it. And in doing so -- the argument would go -- we do the best to promote good outcomes.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Not sure. Not all mistakes and errors are harmful. Failure teaches. </p>
<p>I rather think that we need to be constantly mindful of the need to minimize the scope or extent of the harm, rather than prevent it. And in doing so &#8212; the argument would go &#8212; we do the best to promote good outcomes.</p>
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		<title>By: Dave</title>
		<link>http://www.willwilkinson.net/flybottle/2009/02/28/animal-spirits-and-positional-ambition/comment-page-1/#comment-587891</link>
		<dc:creator>Dave</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 01 Mar 2009 15:54:13 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.willwilkinson.net/flybottle/?p=2994#comment-587891</guid>
		<description>I think people naturally want to do a good job on things, and that leads to innovation and capital formation. Even people who work unsung jobs with no chance of fame often try to do their best and try to make things work well. I am an engineer and I think a big part of why is that can be truly painful for me when something is malfunctioning or working suboptimally. I enjoy kudos for a good job but it&#039;s not the main reason I work hard. In fact, I also find that kind of attention embarrassing.&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;To boil it all down to status competition is a big mistake. I think it comes from the intersection of neo-Social-Darwinism (the strain of evo psych that emphasizes aggression and dominance to the point of celebrating it) and the academic mindset, which is big on fame and status. But the neo-Social-Darwinists are wrong, and not everyone is an academic. Basically, humans are complicated, and simple explanations for what they do are wrong.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I think people naturally want to do a good job on things, and that leads to innovation and capital formation. Even people who work unsung jobs with no chance of fame often try to do their best and try to make things work well. I am an engineer and I think a big part of why is that can be truly painful for me when something is malfunctioning or working suboptimally. I enjoy kudos for a good job but it&#39;s not the main reason I work hard. In fact, I also find that kind of attention embarrassing.</p>
<p>To boil it all down to status competition is a big mistake. I think it comes from the intersection of neo-Social-Darwinism (the strain of evo psych that emphasizes aggression and dominance to the point of celebrating it) and the academic mindset, which is big on fame and status. But the neo-Social-Darwinists are wrong, and not everyone is an academic. Basically, humans are complicated, and simple explanations for what they do are wrong.</p>
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		<title>By: Nathan</title>
		<link>http://www.willwilkinson.net/flybottle/2009/02/28/animal-spirits-and-positional-ambition/comment-page-1/#comment-587890</link>
		<dc:creator>Nathan</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 01 Mar 2009 15:17:38 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.willwilkinson.net/flybottle/?p=2994#comment-587890</guid>
		<description>Why is a more genetic based view of our psyche and what drives us rarely considered?&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;&quot;The Selfish Gene&quot; by Dawkins was a life changing book for me.  Why are people altruistic?  Why are they suicidal?&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;This &quot;animal spirits&quot; mumbo jumbo just sounds like a sophomoric almost spiritually based understanding of why people appear to act irrationally.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Why is a more genetic based view of our psyche and what drives us rarely considered?</p>
<p>&#8220;The Selfish Gene&#8221; by Dawkins was a life changing book for me.  Why are people altruistic?  Why are they suicidal?</p>
<p>This &#8220;animal spirits&#8221; mumbo jumbo just sounds like a sophomoric almost spiritually based understanding of why people appear to act irrationally.</p>
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		<title>By: Nathan</title>
		<link>http://www.willwilkinson.net/flybottle/2009/02/28/animal-spirits-and-positional-ambition/comment-page-1/#comment-587889</link>
		<dc:creator>Nathan</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 01 Mar 2009 15:08:33 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.willwilkinson.net/flybottle/?p=2994#comment-587889</guid>
		<description>A joke?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>A joke?</p>
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		<title>By: Todd</title>
		<link>http://www.willwilkinson.net/flybottle/2009/02/28/animal-spirits-and-positional-ambition/comment-page-1/#comment-587888</link>
		<dc:creator>Todd</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 01 Mar 2009 12:22:21 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.willwilkinson.net/flybottle/?p=2994#comment-587888</guid>
		<description>Am I reading your response correctly in interpreting it as suggesting that we should be more focused on preventing harm than promoting good?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Am I reading your response correctly in interpreting it as suggesting that we should be more focused on preventing harm than promoting good?</p>
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		<title>By: Michael Drake</title>
		<link>http://www.willwilkinson.net/flybottle/2009/02/28/animal-spirits-and-positional-ambition/comment-page-1/#comment-587887</link>
		<dc:creator>Michael Drake</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 01 Mar 2009 12:05:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.willwilkinson.net/flybottle/?p=2994#comment-587887</guid>
		<description>&quot;Robert Frank and Phillip Cook declare inefficient in  The Winner-Take-All Society, and argue we should tax into submission...&quot;&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;Any real data that the sorts of tax structures Frank and Cook advocate (if they advocate any particular structure) would significantly endanger entrepreneurial risk-taking? I&#039;m pretty sure my animal spirits would persevere were I to be taxed at (say) 50% at the $500K margin. So too, apparently, does Bill Gates.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8220;Robert Frank and Phillip Cook declare inefficient in  The Winner-Take-All Society, and argue we should tax into submission&#8230;&#8221;</p>
<p>Any real data that the sorts of tax structures Frank and Cook advocate (if they advocate any particular structure) would significantly endanger entrepreneurial risk-taking? I&#39;m pretty sure my animal spirits would persevere were I to be taxed at (say) 50% at the $500K margin. So too, apparently, does Bill Gates.</p>
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		<title>By: odograph</title>
		<link>http://www.willwilkinson.net/flybottle/2009/02/28/animal-spirits-and-positional-ambition/comment-page-1/#comment-587885</link>
		<dc:creator>odograph</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 01 Mar 2009 10:32:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.willwilkinson.net/flybottle/?p=2994#comment-587885</guid>
		<description>Shorter: I read Bob Horning as a defense of CNBC perma-bulls.  In my opinion, they were not blameless in this crash.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Shorter: I read Bob Horning as a defense of CNBC perma-bulls.  In my opinion, they were not blameless in this crash.</p>
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		<title>By: odograph</title>
		<link>http://www.willwilkinson.net/flybottle/2009/02/28/animal-spirits-and-positional-ambition/comment-page-1/#comment-587884</link>
		<dc:creator>odograph</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 01 Mar 2009 10:30:33 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.willwilkinson.net/flybottle/?p=2994#comment-587884</guid>
		<description>Too many on the Right are saying &quot;if animal spirits exist, then only tell me good news!&quot;&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;I think that is only a first-order reading of animal spirit implications.  In fact, it might be a little higher order to roll back and look at the role of boosterism in bubble building.  A good news bias only builds bubbles higher (and more often).&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;I think the best answer is tell me the &lt;i&gt;real&lt;/i&gt; news, just as soon as you can.  Tell us early and let us develop skills of healthy moderation and skepticism, to prevent the extremes of public sentiment from leading us to euphorias or panics.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Too many on the Right are saying &#8220;if animal spirits exist, then only tell me good news!&#8221;</p>
<p>I think that is only a first-order reading of animal spirit implications.  In fact, it might be a little higher order to roll back and look at the role of boosterism in bubble building.  A good news bias only builds bubbles higher (and more often).</p>
<p>I think the best answer is tell me the <i>real</i> news, just as soon as you can.  Tell us early and let us develop skills of healthy moderation and skepticism, to prevent the extremes of public sentiment from leading us to euphorias or panics.</p>
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		<title>By: Paul G. Brown</title>
		<link>http://www.willwilkinson.net/flybottle/2009/02/28/animal-spirits-and-positional-ambition/comment-page-1/#comment-587875</link>
		<dc:creator>Paul G. Brown</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 28 Feb 2009 22:46:19 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.willwilkinson.net/flybottle/?p=2994#comment-587875</guid>
		<description>Aaah!&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;Not falling into the naturalistic error there, Will? Proceeding from what is the case (Hume&#039;s writing) to what &#039;ought&#039; to be the case (your preferred conclusions)? &lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;Although you&#039;ve not enlightened me as to my misunderstanding, I remain puzzled why you would privilege the experiential psychology of Hume&#039;s day over modern experimental psychology. Thaler seems to me to explain much more than Hume. &lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;Here&#039;s another razor distinction. Hume&#039;s enlightenment view of human behavior includes no consideration of the systematic capacity human beings have for error and self-delusion. Hume - your quote, and I assume you understand him - argued &quot;that institutional rules and social norms must align ambitious, emulative, and status-seeking animal spirits to the aims of innovation, refinement, and advancement of the public good.&quot; &lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;A modern view of that would be that that is all very well and good, but it ignores the fact that human beings are systematically error prone. We delude ourselves. We fail tests of reason and perception all the time. We have had sets of institutional rules and social norms that were intended to direct us along the paths you suggest. These systems failed.&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;Modern psychologists would argue that it&#039;s not that carelessness and greed became contagious. In fact, they&#039;re not aberrations. A modern psychologist might even argue that carelessness and greed are precisely the things you (Will) roughly describe as &#039;animal spirits&#039;. They&#039;re chaotic. Unguided. Cthonic. And they appear to be systematic (indeed, predictable) features of the human mind. &lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;If you want me to go all pop on you, recall Warren Buffet&#039;s advice to only ever invest in a business an idiot could run, because one day, an idiot will. If we embrace human fallibility in ways Hume overlooks, we build social systems with human weakness uppermost in our mind. We build systems where no part of it can become so important that, should human self-deception lead to the collapse of one part, the overall system is impacted. &lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;Which is a radical departure from Hume&#039;s advice, and follows from enormous improvements in our understanding of minds.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Aaah!</p>
<p>Not falling into the naturalistic error there, Will? Proceeding from what is the case (Hume&#39;s writing) to what &#39;ought&#39; to be the case (your preferred conclusions)? </p>
<p>Although you&#39;ve not enlightened me as to my misunderstanding, I remain puzzled why you would privilege the experiential psychology of Hume&#39;s day over modern experimental psychology. Thaler seems to me to explain much more than Hume. </p>
<p>Here&#39;s another razor distinction. Hume&#39;s enlightenment view of human behavior includes no consideration of the systematic capacity human beings have for error and self-delusion. Hume &#8211; your quote, and I assume you understand him &#8211; argued &#8220;that institutional rules and social norms must align ambitious, emulative, and status-seeking animal spirits to the aims of innovation, refinement, and advancement of the public good.&#8221; </p>
<p>A modern view of that would be that that is all very well and good, but it ignores the fact that human beings are systematically error prone. We delude ourselves. We fail tests of reason and perception all the time. We have had sets of institutional rules and social norms that were intended to direct us along the paths you suggest. These systems failed.</p>
<p>Modern psychologists would argue that it&#39;s not that carelessness and greed became contagious. In fact, they&#39;re not aberrations. A modern psychologist might even argue that carelessness and greed are precisely the things you (Will) roughly describe as &#39;animal spirits&#39;. They&#39;re chaotic. Unguided. Cthonic. And they appear to be systematic (indeed, predictable) features of the human mind. </p>
<p>If you want me to go all pop on you, recall Warren Buffet&#39;s advice to only ever invest in a business an idiot could run, because one day, an idiot will. If we embrace human fallibility in ways Hume overlooks, we build social systems with human weakness uppermost in our mind. We build systems where no part of it can become so important that, should human self-deception lead to the collapse of one part, the overall system is impacted. </p>
<p>Which is a radical departure from Hume&#39;s advice, and follows from enormous improvements in our understanding of minds.</p>
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		<title>By: alphie</title>
		<link>http://www.willwilkinson.net/flybottle/2009/02/28/animal-spirits-and-positional-ambition/comment-page-1/#comment-587874</link>
		<dc:creator>alphie</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 28 Feb 2009 21:47:59 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.willwilkinson.net/flybottle/?p=2994#comment-587874</guid>
		<description>A theoretically sound position ?&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;Theoretically, the capitalists wouldn&#039;t have destroyed our economy with their stupidity and unchecked greed.&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;Even Randroid Greenspan was surprised.&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;What use is  &quot;a theoretically sound position&quot; when it has no value in the real world?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>A theoretically sound position ?</p>
<p>Theoretically, the capitalists wouldn&#39;t have destroyed our economy with their stupidity and unchecked greed.</p>
<p>Even Randroid Greenspan was surprised.</p>
<p>What use is  &#8220;a theoretically sound position&#8221; when it has no value in the real world?</p>
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		<title>By: Will Wilkinson</title>
		<link>http://www.willwilkinson.net/flybottle/2009/02/28/animal-spirits-and-positional-ambition/comment-page-1/#comment-587873</link>
		<dc:creator>Will Wilkinson</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 28 Feb 2009 21:06:43 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.willwilkinson.net/flybottle/?p=2994#comment-587873</guid>
		<description>I&#039;m afraid you don&#039;t understand Hume.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I&#39;m afraid you don&#39;t understand Hume.</p>
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		<title>By: Will Wilkinson</title>
		<link>http://www.willwilkinson.net/flybottle/2009/02/28/animal-spirits-and-positional-ambition/comment-page-1/#comment-587872</link>
		<dc:creator>Will Wilkinson</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 28 Feb 2009 21:01:23 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.willwilkinson.net/flybottle/?p=2994#comment-587872</guid>
		<description>I&#039;m not even sure why you think we disagree. I&#039;ve been in favor of a stimulus not all that different from the kind Alice Rivlin proposed. That&#039;s the &quot;do something,&quot; it&#039;s fast, clean, as effective as anything could be, and has little or no effect on the basic structure. A little later, you don&#039;t try to change long-term incentives. You start putting together your blue-ribbon commissions and what-have-you to start restructuring the the incentives of the deeper institutions, understanding that&#039;s what really matters.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I&#39;m not even sure why you think we disagree. I&#39;ve been in favor of a stimulus not all that different from the kind Alice Rivlin proposed. That&#39;s the &#8220;do something,&#8221; it&#39;s fast, clean, as effective as anything could be, and has little or no effect on the basic structure. A little later, you don&#39;t try to change long-term incentives. You start putting together your blue-ribbon commissions and what-have-you to start restructuring the the incentives of the deeper institutions, understanding that&#39;s what really matters.</p>
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		<title>By: Will Wilkinson</title>
		<link>http://www.willwilkinson.net/flybottle/2009/02/28/animal-spirits-and-positional-ambition/comment-page-1/#comment-587871</link>
		<dc:creator>Will Wilkinson</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 28 Feb 2009 20:51:17 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.willwilkinson.net/flybottle/?p=2994#comment-587871</guid>
		<description>This just doesn&#039;t make any sense to me. And I feel like you&#039;re demanding that I take part in a debate whose partisan terms I find intellectually cheapening and culturally corrosive. Using events as a jumping off point for a larger discussion is perfectly sensible, in my opinion. I simply have no special skill for tactical commentary. My sense is that little I say can have any effect on the direction of current policy. The best I can do in the short-term is to help some people (myself included) understand why a theoretically sound position cuts against the approach we&#039;re getting, which makes it OK to be skeptical now. And I can use the occasion, and peoples&#039; current interest in the issues, to try to develop and spread a sensible point of view that can  be usefully applied in future. What&#039;s wrong with that?  I&#039;ve been pretty exasperated by the way the current downturn led to a resurgence of truly sophomoric vulgar Keynesian, and I was also pretty disappointed in the capacity of much of the economics profession and of economically literate commentators to muster a cogent reply in time. I assume we&#039;ll have future recessions, and similar debates. I often didn&#039;t know what to say this time, since much of this is new to me, but I&#039;d like to be better prepared next time.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>This just doesn&#39;t make any sense to me. And I feel like you&#39;re demanding that I take part in a debate whose partisan terms I find intellectually cheapening and culturally corrosive. Using events as a jumping off point for a larger discussion is perfectly sensible, in my opinion. I simply have no special skill for tactical commentary. My sense is that little I say can have any effect on the direction of current policy. The best I can do in the short-term is to help some people (myself included) understand why a theoretically sound position cuts against the approach we&#39;re getting, which makes it OK to be skeptical now. And I can use the occasion, and peoples&#39; current interest in the issues, to try to develop and spread a sensible point of view that can  be usefully applied in future. What&#39;s wrong with that?  I&#39;ve been pretty exasperated by the way the current downturn led to a resurgence of truly sophomoric vulgar Keynesian, and I was also pretty disappointed in the capacity of much of the economics profession and of economically literate commentators to muster a cogent reply in time. I assume we&#39;ll have future recessions, and similar debates. I often didn&#39;t know what to say this time, since much of this is new to me, but I&#39;d like to be better prepared next time.</p>
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		<title>By: x. trapnel</title>
		<link>http://www.willwilkinson.net/flybottle/2009/02/28/animal-spirits-and-positional-ambition/comment-page-1/#comment-587869</link>
		<dc:creator>x. trapnel</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 28 Feb 2009 19:47:10 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.willwilkinson.net/flybottle/?p=2994#comment-587869</guid>
		<description>A third approach!&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;Separating the liberaltarian project of intellectual coalition-formation and identity-questioning from partisan politics is really hard. But it can and ought to be done. You&#039;re totally right here!&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;Separating discussions of macro-economic theory and policy from partisan politics, while using the events of the political process and the comments of the wonkosphere in response to those events as jumping-off points, &lt;b&gt;in January-February of 2009&lt;/b&gt;, is not possible.  Questions about illocutionary force rather than content are not merely predictable but proper.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>A third approach!</p>
<p>Separating the liberaltarian project of intellectual coalition-formation and identity-questioning from partisan politics is really hard. But it can and ought to be done. You&#39;re totally right here!</p>
<p>Separating discussions of macro-economic theory and policy from partisan politics, while using the events of the political process and the comments of the wonkosphere in response to those events as jumping-off points, <b>in January-February of 2009</b>, is not possible.  Questions about illocutionary force rather than content are not merely predictable but proper.</p>
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