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	<title>Comments on: The Principles of Weisbergian Political Economy</title>
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	<link>http://www.willwilkinson.net/flybottle/2008/10/21/the-principles-of-weisbergian-political-economy/</link>
	<description>The Sweet Release of Reason</description>
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		<title>By: NicoleTedesco</title>
		<link>http://www.willwilkinson.net/flybottle/2008/10/21/the-principles-of-weisbergian-political-economy/comment-page-1/#comment-584161</link>
		<dc:creator>NicoleTedesco</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 28 Oct 2008 14:40:39 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.willwilkinson.net/flybottle/?p=2054#comment-584161</guid>
		<description>Michael, very well said!  (I love the Theodoric of York example.  I haven&#039;t thought of that character is years!  It makes the point well.)</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Michael, very well said!  (I love the Theodoric of York example.  I haven&#39;t thought of that character is years!  It makes the point well.)</p>
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		<title>By: Michael Drake</title>
		<link>http://www.willwilkinson.net/flybottle/2008/10/21/the-principles-of-weisbergian-political-economy/comment-page-1/#comment-584160</link>
		<dc:creator>Michael Drake</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 28 Oct 2008 14:34:33 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.willwilkinson.net/flybottle/?p=2054#comment-584160</guid>
		<description>Hi Nicole, one other thing I had in mind was that medical intervention has an extensive history of, well, f***ing up on the way to discovering what kinds of interventions actually work. (This is somewhat related to the point about improving technologies.) The success rate of &lt;a href=&lt;br&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Theodoric_of_York%22%3ETheodoric&quot;&gt;http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Theodoric_of_York&quot;...&lt;/a&gt; of York&lt;/a&gt; might have led some to posit an a priori principle that nonintervention is always better, but now we know that would have been a mistake, perhaps caused by a toad or a small dwarf living in the stomach. In sum, the appropriate induction to draw from the history of science and technology seems to be that cautious experimentation is a better bet than principled nonintervention.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Hi Nicole, one other thing I had in mind was that medical intervention has an extensive history of, well, f***ing up on the way to discovering what kinds of interventions actually work. (This is somewhat related to the point about improving technologies.) The success rate of &lt;a href=<br /><a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Theodoric_of_York%22%3ETheodoric"></a><a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Theodoric_of_York" rel="nofollow">http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Theodoric_of_York</a>&#8220;&#8230; of York might have led some to posit an a priori principle that nonintervention is always better, but now we know that would have been a mistake, perhaps caused by a toad or a small dwarf living in the stomach. In sum, the appropriate induction to draw from the history of science and technology seems to be that cautious experimentation is a better bet than principled nonintervention.</p>
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		<title>By: NicoleTedesco</title>
		<link>http://www.willwilkinson.net/flybottle/2008/10/21/the-principles-of-weisbergian-political-economy/comment-page-1/#comment-584109</link>
		<dc:creator>NicoleTedesco</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 25 Oct 2008 16:21:39 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.willwilkinson.net/flybottle/?p=2054#comment-584109</guid>
		<description>The pretty-near centralized planning of the United States&#039; economy during WWII was successful for the time, but fell apart by the Ford era (mid-1970s).  Nixonian price and wage controls were not effective.  Ford&#039;s &quot;WIN&quot; campaign was a joke.  It could be that non-capitalist systems can be effective under some circumstances, for some periods of time, with some cultures, under certain scales.&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;Part of me as a suspicion that certain forms of increased regulation to our free market economy may be effective (such as transparency regulations, otherwise known as &quot;measurement&quot;) if their associated costs can be minimized (e.g., through improved information technology infrastructure).  I also suspect however that even this can have a limit as we eliminate the measurement problems we may find ourselves face-to-face with the uncertainties of genetically constrained human psychology.&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;Perhaps the next advance will have to await wide spread genetic reprogramming of the human species.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The pretty-near centralized planning of the United States&#39; economy during WWII was successful for the time, but fell apart by the Ford era (mid-1970s).  Nixonian price and wage controls were not effective.  Ford&#39;s &#8220;WIN&#8221; campaign was a joke.  It could be that non-capitalist systems can be effective under some circumstances, for some periods of time, with some cultures, under certain scales.</p>
<p>Part of me as a suspicion that certain forms of increased regulation to our free market economy may be effective (such as transparency regulations, otherwise known as &#8220;measurement&#8221;) if their associated costs can be minimized (e.g., through improved information technology infrastructure).  I also suspect however that even this can have a limit as we eliminate the measurement problems we may find ourselves face-to-face with the uncertainties of genetically constrained human psychology.</p>
<p>Perhaps the next advance will have to await wide spread genetic reprogramming of the human species.</p>
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		<title>By: NicoleTedesco</title>
		<link>http://www.willwilkinson.net/flybottle/2008/10/21/the-principles-of-weisbergian-political-economy/comment-page-1/#comment-584107</link>
		<dc:creator>NicoleTedesco</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 25 Oct 2008 16:01:13 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.willwilkinson.net/flybottle/?p=2054#comment-584107</guid>
		<description>Michael, I find I am partial to your &quot;Canesians&quot; versus &quot;Canitarians&quot; argument perhaps because I have been partial lately to using medical analogies when describing the current financial crisis to people.  It is fashionable at this time for people to attempt to discredit free market economics because something more &quot;rational&quot; would not have let the current crisis happen.  My response is that planning so far has been quite rational and scientific if you consider the time dependency of our macoeconomic models: Like Black and Scholes, the model is good most of the time--except for those relatively rare, pesky up-or-down spikes of activity.  I liken this to the fact that our own bodies work pretty darned well a vast majority of the time except for those pesky heart attacks or strokes that would kill you.  What to do about those heart attacks or strokes?  We can take measures to prevent them.  If those measures are of uncertain efficacy, such as the consumption of red wine, if the cost is low &quot;it doesn&#039;t hurt to try.&quot;  If the preventative measures are of high certainty, such as regular exercise, then we try our best to implement them regardless of the cost (this doesn&#039;t account for the cessation of cigarette smoking however).  We can also try to measure our physiology for signs of an impending heart attack or stroke so that we can either take evasive measures or prepare ourselves for prompt corrective action should the event occur.  We can also work on effective methods for damage control after the event.  As far as preventive measures such as the difficulties of cessation of cigarette smoking are concerned, this can serve as an analogy for the effects of politics in our economic system.&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;Being someone with a physics and engineering background, I very well appreciate the constructive role non-linear dynamics can have in complex systems.  Like with the human body, I like the idea that the body should be left to itself and it will function well most of the time.  However, as technology improves we humans have found it useful to measure, intervene or downright replace parts of broken anatomies with something artificial--our solutions tend not to be perfect, and can leave us wanting for the original body once again.  That equation however changes as technology improves.  What will happen when artificial eyes are developed that are demonstrably better than what nature has ever provided, and impose a relatively low cost of adoption and maintenance?  What about better, stronger and faster limbs?  I remember as a child thinking, &quot;Yeah, it would be cool to be Jamie Sommers--the Bionic Woman!&quot;&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;As information technologies improve and the cost of their adoption and maintenance decreases, I am all for inserting certain types of artificiality into our economic system such as improved measuring systems (were the cost of Sarbanes-Oxley lower!), damage control systems and prevention systems if the efficacy/cost equation be optimized.&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;So, who is for complete non-intervention of your personal health?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Michael, I find I am partial to your &#8220;Canesians&#8221; versus &#8220;Canitarians&#8221; argument perhaps because I have been partial lately to using medical analogies when describing the current financial crisis to people.  It is fashionable at this time for people to attempt to discredit free market economics because something more &#8220;rational&#8221; would not have let the current crisis happen.  My response is that planning so far has been quite rational and scientific if you consider the time dependency of our macoeconomic models: Like Black and Scholes, the model is good most of the time&#8211;except for those relatively rare, pesky up-or-down spikes of activity.  I liken this to the fact that our own bodies work pretty darned well a vast majority of the time except for those pesky heart attacks or strokes that would kill you.  What to do about those heart attacks or strokes?  We can take measures to prevent them.  If those measures are of uncertain efficacy, such as the consumption of red wine, if the cost is low &#8220;it doesn&#39;t hurt to try.&#8221;  If the preventative measures are of high certainty, such as regular exercise, then we try our best to implement them regardless of the cost (this doesn&#39;t account for the cessation of cigarette smoking however).  We can also try to measure our physiology for signs of an impending heart attack or stroke so that we can either take evasive measures or prepare ourselves for prompt corrective action should the event occur.  We can also work on effective methods for damage control after the event.  As far as preventive measures such as the difficulties of cessation of cigarette smoking are concerned, this can serve as an analogy for the effects of politics in our economic system.</p>
<p>Being someone with a physics and engineering background, I very well appreciate the constructive role non-linear dynamics can have in complex systems.  Like with the human body, I like the idea that the body should be left to itself and it will function well most of the time.  However, as technology improves we humans have found it useful to measure, intervene or downright replace parts of broken anatomies with something artificial&#8211;our solutions tend not to be perfect, and can leave us wanting for the original body once again.  That equation however changes as technology improves.  What will happen when artificial eyes are developed that are demonstrably better than what nature has ever provided, and impose a relatively low cost of adoption and maintenance?  What about better, stronger and faster limbs?  I remember as a child thinking, &#8220;Yeah, it would be cool to be Jamie Sommers&#8211;the Bionic Woman!&#8221;</p>
<p>As information technologies improve and the cost of their adoption and maintenance decreases, I am all for inserting certain types of artificiality into our economic system such as improved measuring systems (were the cost of Sarbanes-Oxley lower!), damage control systems and prevention systems if the efficacy/cost equation be optimized.</p>
<p>So, who is for complete non-intervention of your personal health?</p>
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		<title>By: ChrisH</title>
		<link>http://www.willwilkinson.net/flybottle/2008/10/21/the-principles-of-weisbergian-political-economy/comment-page-1/#comment-584104</link>
		<dc:creator>ChrisH</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 25 Oct 2008 15:34:08 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.willwilkinson.net/flybottle/?p=2054#comment-584104</guid>
		<description>Will,&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;I bounced here off Hit &#039;n Run. It impresses me that the Weisberg column has inspired a small flood of excellent libertarian short-form essays, yours included.&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;It would be of value to have columns like Weisberg&#039;s come out on a regular basis, to hone the cadres&#039; skills and build the literature. It would be worth paying for this. Lucky for us, there are no shortage of volunteers providing targets.&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;And, your rabid dog analogy was golden!&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;Keep up the good fight!</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Will,</p>
<p>I bounced here off Hit &#39;n Run. It impresses me that the Weisberg column has inspired a small flood of excellent libertarian short-form essays, yours included.</p>
<p>It would be of value to have columns like Weisberg&#39;s come out on a regular basis, to hone the cadres&#39; skills and build the literature. It would be worth paying for this. Lucky for us, there are no shortage of volunteers providing targets.</p>
<p>And, your rabid dog analogy was golden!</p>
<p>Keep up the good fight!</p>
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		<title>By: Sam Grove</title>
		<link>http://www.willwilkinson.net/flybottle/2008/10/21/the-principles-of-weisbergian-political-economy/comment-page-1/#comment-584096</link>
		<dc:creator>Sam Grove</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 25 Oct 2008 04:31:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.willwilkinson.net/flybottle/?p=2054#comment-584096</guid>
		<description>I think what can be determined from this is that in a regulatory environment, a certain balance is required. If tilted too much one way, the business environment can be stifling, tilted too much the other way, the business environment can get too &quot;exuberant&quot;.&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;This does not address the desirability of a regulatory environment except in the sense that the knowledge to create proper balance can be lacking, giving rise to the constant need for further &quot;adjustment&quot;.&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;A politically/centrally regulated economy is not stable. The feedback loop has to much delay and distortion.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I think what can be determined from this is that in a regulatory environment, a certain balance is required. If tilted too much one way, the business environment can be stifling, tilted too much the other way, the business environment can get too &#8220;exuberant&#8221;.</p>
<p>This does not address the desirability of a regulatory environment except in the sense that the knowledge to create proper balance can be lacking, giving rise to the constant need for further &#8220;adjustment&#8221;.</p>
<p>A politically/centrally regulated economy is not stable. The feedback loop has to much delay and distortion.</p>
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		<title>By: Sam Grove</title>
		<link>http://www.willwilkinson.net/flybottle/2008/10/21/the-principles-of-weisbergian-political-economy/comment-page-1/#comment-584094</link>
		<dc:creator>Sam Grove</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 25 Oct 2008 01:38:22 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.willwilkinson.net/flybottle/?p=2054#comment-584094</guid>
		<description>We might consider that failure to regulate these &#039;securities&#039; was willful and part of a bargain to &#039;encourage&#039; lenders to make &#039;sub-prime&#039; (read &quot;bad&quot;) loans.&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;It is known that regulatory reform of the mortgage GSEs was proposed and opposed and defeated. Was Barney Frank just ignorant of the potential problems?&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;Or was he part of the bargain made to allow lenders to find a way to make money off of bad loans to fulfill policy goals?&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;The fact of the crisis occurring in a regime of extensive regulation tells us that having a regulatory system is no guarantee of effectiveness and further, can manage to coordinate problems into a crisis of GSE proportions. &lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;Proponents of regulated economies like to cite some ideal state where the regulatory regime works in harmony with the market producing optimal results, even after failure after failure. Recall that a large justification for the creation of the FED was to prevent big depressions. The FED was established in 1913, sixteen years before the market crash of 1929.&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;It seems obvious in citing the mistakes of the FED board and other interventions of government at the time that they did not know what they were doing and thus did not comprehend the nature of markets. &lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;Seventy-nine years later, they still don&#039;t.&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;They&#039;re all Keynesians now.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>We might consider that failure to regulate these &#39;securities&#39; was willful and part of a bargain to &#39;encourage&#39; lenders to make &#39;sub-prime&#39; (read &#8220;bad&#8221;) loans.</p>
<p>It is known that regulatory reform of the mortgage GSEs was proposed and opposed and defeated. Was Barney Frank just ignorant of the potential problems?</p>
<p>Or was he part of the bargain made to allow lenders to find a way to make money off of bad loans to fulfill policy goals?</p>
<p>The fact of the crisis occurring in a regime of extensive regulation tells us that having a regulatory system is no guarantee of effectiveness and further, can manage to coordinate problems into a crisis of GSE proportions. </p>
<p>Proponents of regulated economies like to cite some ideal state where the regulatory regime works in harmony with the market producing optimal results, even after failure after failure. Recall that a large justification for the creation of the FED was to prevent big depressions. The FED was established in 1913, sixteen years before the market crash of 1929.</p>
<p>It seems obvious in citing the mistakes of the FED board and other interventions of government at the time that they did not know what they were doing and thus did not comprehend the nature of markets. </p>
<p>Seventy-nine years later, they still don&#39;t.</p>
<p>They&#39;re all Keynesians now.</p>
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		<title>By: Robbie</title>
		<link>http://www.willwilkinson.net/flybottle/2008/10/21/the-principles-of-weisbergian-political-economy/comment-page-1/#comment-584093</link>
		<dc:creator>Robbie</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 25 Oct 2008 01:00:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.willwilkinson.net/flybottle/?p=2054#comment-584093</guid>
		<description>I think the point here, like Will said, is that the fuel behind this fire was the mortage practices encouraged by the government. However, I think it could also be argued that though this was the problem this time, it needn&#039;t have been since there probably should have been more regulation in certain areas of the financial market. That is what Will was trying to say I think. If libertarians learned anything, it is that maybe there should have been more regulation in this case. Libertarians are not anarchists, and to say that something caused by the free market dooms libertarianism is ridiculous. &lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;The moral hazard now comes into play when the government bails out these institutions. Even having a concept of &quot;too big to fail&quot; is a moral hazard, as that encourages this type of behavior with the thought always in the back of their minds that if it goes south, they will get bailed out anyway. In a real libertarian world, people would be held accountable for their risks, and therefore people would be more cautious when taking risks, or not take them at all.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I think the point here, like Will said, is that the fuel behind this fire was the mortage practices encouraged by the government. However, I think it could also be argued that though this was the problem this time, it needn&#39;t have been since there probably should have been more regulation in certain areas of the financial market. That is what Will was trying to say I think. If libertarians learned anything, it is that maybe there should have been more regulation in this case. Libertarians are not anarchists, and to say that something caused by the free market dooms libertarianism is ridiculous. </p>
<p>The moral hazard now comes into play when the government bails out these institutions. Even having a concept of &#8220;too big to fail&#8221; is a moral hazard, as that encourages this type of behavior with the thought always in the back of their minds that if it goes south, they will get bailed out anyway. In a real libertarian world, people would be held accountable for their risks, and therefore people would be more cautious when taking risks, or not take them at all.</p>
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		<title>By: assman</title>
		<link>http://www.willwilkinson.net/flybottle/2008/10/21/the-principles-of-weisbergian-political-economy/comment-page-1/#comment-584066</link>
		<dc:creator>assman</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 23 Oct 2008 20:32:14 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.willwilkinson.net/flybottle/?p=2054#comment-584066</guid>
		<description>Great you have named some regulations.  That step 1.  Progress.&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;Now the next step is to show that the regulations would actually be beneficial and enforceable.  I don&#039;t think the complicatedness regulation is enforceable since it requires a measure of complicatedness. Regulation 2 I agree with but I don&#039;t think it would have prevented this crisis.  Regulation 3 also would not prevent anything because it penalizes after the fact.  There is also the possibility that all these regulations could make things much worse.  &lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;Naming regulations is the first step.  The next step is to give real world or theoretical evidence of the effectiveness of the proposed regulation.&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;Interestingly you avoided any regulations that would limit the defaults and riskiness of mortgage backed securities.  Like for instance allowing prepayment penalties, forbidding ninja and zero LTV loans, allowing recourse mortgages (no more jingle mail).  There is real world evidence of the effectiveness of these types of regulations, namely Canadian banks.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Great you have named some regulations.  That step 1.  Progress.</p>
<p>Now the next step is to show that the regulations would actually be beneficial and enforceable.  I don&#39;t think the complicatedness regulation is enforceable since it requires a measure of complicatedness. Regulation 2 I agree with but I don&#39;t think it would have prevented this crisis.  Regulation 3 also would not prevent anything because it penalizes after the fact.  There is also the possibility that all these regulations could make things much worse.  </p>
<p>Naming regulations is the first step.  The next step is to give real world or theoretical evidence of the effectiveness of the proposed regulation.</p>
<p>Interestingly you avoided any regulations that would limit the defaults and riskiness of mortgage backed securities.  Like for instance allowing prepayment penalties, forbidding ninja and zero LTV loans, allowing recourse mortgages (no more jingle mail).  There is real world evidence of the effectiveness of these types of regulations, namely Canadian banks.</p>
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		<title>By: mk</title>
		<link>http://www.willwilkinson.net/flybottle/2008/10/21/the-principles-of-weisbergian-political-economy/comment-page-1/#comment-584063</link>
		<dc:creator>mk</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 23 Oct 2008 19:26:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.willwilkinson.net/flybottle/?p=2054#comment-584063</guid>
		<description>A few examples of possibly beneficial regulations:&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;- Limits on the percentage of mortgages a bank can securitize, or a requirement that a bank must own (must not sell along) some percentage of the assets it securitizes. &lt;br&gt;Similar requirements for mortgage lenders. They must not be allowed to pass along all risk. They have to be incentivized to limit risky loans.&lt;br&gt;- Limits on the complicatedness of derivatives (e.g. disallowing CDO&#039;s-squared)&lt;br&gt;- An exchange for derivatives that clarifies the exposure of individual players and the market as a whole.&lt;br&gt;- Credit rating reform: regulations to ensure that rating agencies have incentives to properly assess risk of securities. One intriguing idea is to mandate that pay to ratings agencies is in some way conditional on the accuracy of the assessment.&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;There are probably many other possibilities. I&#039;m sure there will be a vigorous debate over the next few years.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>A few examples of possibly beneficial regulations:</p>
<p>- Limits on the percentage of mortgages a bank can securitize, or a requirement that a bank must own (must not sell along) some percentage of the assets it securitizes. <br />Similar requirements for mortgage lenders. They must not be allowed to pass along all risk. They have to be incentivized to limit risky loans.<br />- Limits on the complicatedness of derivatives (e.g. disallowing CDO&#39;s-squared)<br />- An exchange for derivatives that clarifies the exposure of individual players and the market as a whole.<br />- Credit rating reform: regulations to ensure that rating agencies have incentives to properly assess risk of securities. One intriguing idea is to mandate that pay to ratings agencies is in some way conditional on the accuracy of the assessment.</p>
<p>There are probably many other possibilities. I&#39;m sure there will be a vigorous debate over the next few years.</p>
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		<title>By: assman</title>
		<link>http://www.willwilkinson.net/flybottle/2008/10/21/the-principles-of-weisbergian-political-economy/comment-page-1/#comment-584059</link>
		<dc:creator>assman</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 23 Oct 2008 17:32:13 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.willwilkinson.net/flybottle/?p=2054#comment-584059</guid>
		<description>You also failed to address my argument.  I was giving a prototype argument and claiming that Jacob&#039;s argument was insufficient.  Your argument is insufficient for the same reasons.  Namely all you have argued (without proof) is that &quot;the system&quot; is enough to lead us to these problem because it privatizes profits and socializes losses.  First of all you are already wrong.  There have been speculative crises where the government gave absolutely no help to the speculators.  So it is possible to have these type of problems in a market system even when losses are not socialized!  Secondly you, just like Jacob have failed to provide an alternative system that would have prevented this crisis and you have failed to explain how regulation could prevent this crisis.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>You also failed to address my argument.  I was giving a prototype argument and claiming that Jacob&#39;s argument was insufficient.  Your argument is insufficient for the same reasons.  Namely all you have argued (without proof) is that &#8220;the system&#8221; is enough to lead us to these problem because it privatizes profits and socializes losses.  First of all you are already wrong.  There have been speculative crises where the government gave absolutely no help to the speculators.  So it is possible to have these type of problems in a market system even when losses are not socialized!  Secondly you, just like Jacob have failed to provide an alternative system that would have prevented this crisis and you have failed to explain how regulation could prevent this crisis.</p>
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		<title>By: assman</title>
		<link>http://www.willwilkinson.net/flybottle/2008/10/21/the-principles-of-weisbergian-political-economy/comment-page-1/#comment-584058</link>
		<dc:creator>assman</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 23 Oct 2008 17:23:54 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.willwilkinson.net/flybottle/?p=2054#comment-584058</guid>
		<description>How exactly do you know subprime is neither necessary nor sufficient to have gotten us into this situation?  Your argument is non-existent.  I can also make argument without giving reasons:&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;Your a moron who was born from a frog.  Why should we trust someone born from a frog.  Obviously your frog nature was both necessary and sufficient to cause this mess.  You bastard.&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;I think the argument above has about the same amount of content as your argument.  Which is to say it has no content.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>How exactly do you know subprime is neither necessary nor sufficient to have gotten us into this situation?  Your argument is non-existent.  I can also make argument without giving reasons:</p>
<p>Your a moron who was born from a frog.  Why should we trust someone born from a frog.  Obviously your frog nature was both necessary and sufficient to cause this mess.  You bastard.</p>
<p>I think the argument above has about the same amount of content as your argument.  Which is to say it has no content.</p>
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		<title>By: Michael Drake</title>
		<link>http://www.willwilkinson.net/flybottle/2008/10/21/the-principles-of-weisbergian-political-economy/comment-page-1/#comment-584054</link>
		<dc:creator>Michael Drake</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 23 Oct 2008 14:35:30 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.willwilkinson.net/flybottle/?p=2054#comment-584054</guid>
		<description>But Nicholas, housing bubbles also exist in nature. The fact that this particular housing bubble wouldn&#039;t have occurred is no more to the point than that that particular rabies epidemic wouldn&#039;t have occurred. It did occur.&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;And it occurred within a regime that implements a body of regulation. So libertarian, zero-regulation doctrine simply isn&#039;t apt. The extant regulation is a political reality. The rational policy question, then, is what action to take at the margin. And it doesn&#039;t appear that salutary policy action would have required anything like God-like omniscience; indeed, the argument is that rational and economically beneficial action probably would have been taken had it not been for the conviction that regulation should generally be avoided.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>But Nicholas, housing bubbles also exist in nature. The fact that this particular housing bubble wouldn&#39;t have occurred is no more to the point than that that particular rabies epidemic wouldn&#39;t have occurred. It did occur.</p>
<p>And it occurred within a regime that implements a body of regulation. So libertarian, zero-regulation doctrine simply isn&#39;t apt. The extant regulation is a political reality. The rational policy question, then, is what action to take at the margin. And it doesn&#39;t appear that salutary policy action would have required anything like God-like omniscience; indeed, the argument is that rational and economically beneficial action probably would have been taken had it not been for the conviction that regulation should generally be avoided.</p>
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		<title>By: Nicholas Weininger</title>
		<link>http://www.willwilkinson.net/flybottle/2008/10/21/the-principles-of-weisbergian-political-economy/comment-page-1/#comment-584052</link>
		<dc:creator>Nicholas Weininger</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 23 Oct 2008 13:15:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.willwilkinson.net/flybottle/?p=2054#comment-584052</guid>
		<description>The problem with your analogy is that rabies just exists in nature. But neither the housing bubble nor the securitization bubble that magnified the housing bubble&#039;s effect were products of the free market. Both were created by bad government policies that distorted incentives: bad interest rate policy, bad tax policy, and stupidly written regulations that created an incentive for regulatory arbitrage by securitization of low-quality mortgages (read Arnold Kling on this last, he&#039;s particularly good). Yes, a bureaucrat-god could have come up with better regulation that would have prevented the mess: but part of the larger libertarian point is that the incentives and knowledge available to political actors are such that they are unlikely to do regulation that well in practice.&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;So, to bring it back to your analogy, what the Canitarians are saying is that the vets should lay off the dogs because &lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;(a) they are drunk and Parkinsonian and likely to botch the vaccinations&lt;br&gt;(b) even more, *they are the principal carriers of rabies in the world*.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The problem with your analogy is that rabies just exists in nature. But neither the housing bubble nor the securitization bubble that magnified the housing bubble&#39;s effect were products of the free market. Both were created by bad government policies that distorted incentives: bad interest rate policy, bad tax policy, and stupidly written regulations that created an incentive for regulatory arbitrage by securitization of low-quality mortgages (read Arnold Kling on this last, he&#39;s particularly good). Yes, a bureaucrat-god could have come up with better regulation that would have prevented the mess: but part of the larger libertarian point is that the incentives and knowledge available to political actors are such that they are unlikely to do regulation that well in practice.</p>
<p>So, to bring it back to your analogy, what the Canitarians are saying is that the vets should lay off the dogs because </p>
<p>(a) they are drunk and Parkinsonian and likely to botch the vaccinations<br />(b) even more, *they are the principal carriers of rabies in the world*.</p>
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		<title>By: webgrrl</title>
		<link>http://www.willwilkinson.net/flybottle/2008/10/21/the-principles-of-weisbergian-political-economy/comment-page-1/#comment-584051</link>
		<dc:creator>webgrrl</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 23 Oct 2008 13:14:13 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.willwilkinson.net/flybottle/?p=2054#comment-584051</guid>
		<description>Dudes, this whole discussion has become waaaaay to divorced from reality. &lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;Clearly now - the email &amp; IMs have been released - a significant part of this is plain fraud on the part of the rating agencies. When they went public, they went from neutral, independent bodies to &quot;service companies,&quot; being paid by instrument sellers for ratings. Thus management allegedly forced employees to positively rate instruments despite the real risk, and to neglect to fix known errors in the ratings model. &lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;Complete change of business model, and one that compromised the entire system. If you want to ask where new regulation should be, it should start there: to assure the independence and neutrality of ratings. &lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;Calling each other &quot;morons&quot; and the like is just counterproductive. There was real crime here. The financial system is grown-up stuff for the real world, not simply signaling one&#039;s political allegiances. Please set aside your political biases and examine the facts as they are coming to light. Otherwise this discussion is pointless.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Dudes, this whole discussion has become waaaaay to divorced from reality. </p>
<p>Clearly now &#8211; the email &#038; IMs have been released &#8211; a significant part of this is plain fraud on the part of the rating agencies. When they went public, they went from neutral, independent bodies to &#8220;service companies,&#8221; being paid by instrument sellers for ratings. Thus management allegedly forced employees to positively rate instruments despite the real risk, and to neglect to fix known errors in the ratings model. </p>
<p>Complete change of business model, and one that compromised the entire system. If you want to ask where new regulation should be, it should start there: to assure the independence and neutrality of ratings. </p>
<p>Calling each other &#8220;morons&#8221; and the like is just counterproductive. There was real crime here. The financial system is grown-up stuff for the real world, not simply signaling one&#39;s political allegiances. Please set aside your political biases and examine the facts as they are coming to light. Otherwise this discussion is pointless.</p>
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