http://www.willwilkinson.net/flybottle/2008/04/10/how-manufacturing-and-immigration-creates-tolerance-and-democrats/ The Sweet Release of Reason Fri, 29 Aug 2008 17:42:33 +0000 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.6.1 http://www.willwilkinson.net/flybottle/2008/04/10/how-manufacturing-and-immigration-creates-tolerance-and-democrats/#comment-578904 JSBolton Fri, 18 Apr 2008 03:47:15 +0000 http://www.willwilkinson.net/flybottle/?p=1400#comment-578904 The manufacturing cities used to have around twice the per capita incomes of the poorer states; now Detroit city and Missisippi are on a level. This explains why the 1920's industrial powerhouses are the democratic core areas today. Those cities became less and less tolerant of human success, taxing the industrialists and then the middle class into headlong flight, and tried to make up their clientele losses with welfare-magnetized populations and immigrants in need of ethnolinguistic ghettoes. They became zones of freedom-FOR-aggression, tolerant of barbarically high crime rates. In such circumstances the vote can easily go 90% moderate left. The left is a passion for freedom-for-aggression,disaffinity for the military and the police as well as any other force working for freedom-FROM-aggression. Foreigners are to the left of us, immigrant cohorts come in on net public subsidy which requires incease of aggression on the citizenry, so they reinforce that democratic pattern. The manufacturing cities used to have around twice the per capita incomes of the poorer states; now Detroit city and Missisippi are on a level. This explains why the 1920’s industrial powerhouses are the democratic core areas today. Those cities became less and less tolerant of human success, taxing the industrialists and then the middle class into headlong flight, and tried to make up their clientele losses with welfare-magnetized populations and immigrants in need of ethnolinguistic ghettoes. They became zones of freedom-FOR-aggression, tolerant of barbarically high crime rates. In such circumstances the vote can easily go 90% moderate left. The left is a passion for freedom-for-aggression,disaffinity for the military and the police as well as any other force working for freedom-FROM-aggression. Foreigners are to the left of us, immigrant cohorts come in on net public subsidy which requires incease of aggression on the citizenry, so they reinforce that democratic pattern.

]]> http://www.willwilkinson.net/flybottle/2008/04/10/how-manufacturing-and-immigration-creates-tolerance-and-democrats/#comment-578740 Bruce K. Britton Sun, 13 Apr 2008 18:36:23 +0000 http://www.willwilkinson.net/flybottle/?p=1400#comment-578740 This approach to investigating the causal relations between various things suffers from well-known problems most pithily summarized in the notion that 'Correlation does not establish causality.' There are ways to get around these problems, and I don't see any excuse for not using them, except that they involve more work than what is being done here, which was to take a very large correlation matrix and pick out the 'significant' correlations. One solution is to make your causal model explicit in advance and then test whether the correlation matrix predicted by your model fits the matrix found empirically. This approach has a well-developed literature, and if you don't such an approach, or one of the other ones, it seems irresponsible. This approach to investigating the causal relations between various things suffers from well-known problems most pithily summarized in the notion that ‘Correlation does not establish causality.’ There are ways to get around these problems, and I don’t see any excuse for not using them, except that they involve more work than what is being done here, which was to take a very large correlation matrix and pick out the ’significant’ correlations. One solution is to make your causal model explicit in advance and then test whether the correlation matrix predicted by your model fits the matrix found empirically. This approach has a well-developed literature, and if you don’t such an approach, or one of the other ones, it seems irresponsible.

]]> http://www.willwilkinson.net/flybottle/2008/04/10/how-manufacturing-and-immigration-creates-tolerance-and-democrats/#comment-578631 Jack Fri, 11 Apr 2008 06:36:49 +0000 http://www.willwilkinson.net/flybottle/?p=1400#comment-578631 Ok, but then why do well-off urban, wealthy state voters support union endorsed economic policies? Or is that conventional wisdom wrong? Ok, but then why do well-off urban, wealthy state voters support union endorsed economic policies? Or is that conventional wisdom wrong?

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