Self-Ruled or Rule-Ruled?

by Will Wilkinson on May 6, 2005

Yale Law Professor Akhil Reed Amar has suggested:

Divide the state into one hundred equally populous single-member districts, as under the current system. Give each person one ballot and one vote, but within each district, after the votes are cast, don’t just add up the votes and in effect waste or ignore the votes of those of the minority party or parties– the “losers.” Instead, treat all voters, all ballots, equally, but in a different way. Suppose we put all of the ballots from a given district in a twirling drum, pull one ballot out in a lottery, and declare the candidate listed on that ballot the winner from that district. Ex ante, each ballot has an equal chance of casting the winning vote. If you get 20 percent of the vote in a district, you have a 20 percent chance of winning the election even if someone else got more votes. Like the current system, lottery voting uses small single-member districts, but because of the law of averages, lottery voting generates an overall legislature that looks much more like the one generated by cumulative voting. A geographically dispersed 20 percent minority party will win around twenty of the one hundred seats. Each party will get its fair share–its proportionate share–of legislative representation, tracking pretty closely the overall percentage of the vote it received statewide.

So,why not?

During a nice conversation about alternative voting schemes last night at the Amsterdam Falafelshop with my friend Clark, I got thinking about just how little most Americans are aware of the degree to which the democratic rules of the game constrain the range of the politically possible. We blithely believe that since we have some scheme of universal suffrage that the government must reflect the “will of the people.” But this is utterly fallacious. There are probably an uncountable number of different voting schemes that are equivalently “democratic,” but which would produce wildly different legislatures, policies, and civic cultures. Amar’s ingenious idea is just one example of an alternative democratic scheme that would give quite different results from our current system.

The interesting normative question is whether a political community can truly exemplify the ideal of republican self-governance if they do not understand the extent to which the rules of collective decision-making limit their choices, some possibilities being ruled out of bounds simply in virtue of being governed by one set of rules rather then another.

Amar speaks of law schools, but I think his point is general:

Too few of us–citizens and lawyers–recognize that a choice exists. This is largely a failure of education, especially in law schools where professors train students much better in the arts of textual and doctrinal analysis, and now even in certain law and economics and statistical techniques, than in the basic rudiments of social choice theory. Plain meaning, expressio unius, judicial review, the Coase theorem, regression analysis, and T tests–these are all part of law school vocabulary. But the Condorcet Paradox, agenda manipulation, May’s Theorem, single peakedness, Downsian equilibrium, Black’s Theorem and the like, are not–not yet, at least.

I think our attitude toward democracy would undergo a fairly radical change if it was broadly understood just how much we are ruled by the rules.

  • f2gzphisgy Well said f2gzphisgy http://sko.xs07.info
  • l3si7u4xe7 This is so true! l3si7u4xe7
  • I believe it was Bob McGrew (my co-blogger at Cardinal Collective) who I was discussing this system with once, who pointed out that in fact this is one of the few voting schemes that will manage to satisfy the desiderata of Arrow's Theorem. This is because in the non-randomized case, the only system that does this is dictatorship (letting one individual make the choice), and in the randomized case, the only ones that do are linear combinations of those that do, and this is the symmetric linear combination of all of the dictatorships.
  • Many of those concepts are addressed, though not in any particular Eskridge, Jr.; Frickey; and Garrett, Cases and Materials on Legislation: Statutes and The Creation of Public Policy. 3rd Edition. Which I'm reviewing for my last law school exam of the year, and thereby providing small counter example to Amar's point
  • Public Choice III, by Dennis Mueller.
  • Wild Pegasus
    But the Condorcet Paradox, agenda manipulation, May's Theorem, single peakedness, Downsian equilibrium, Black's Theorem and the like, are not [part of law school curricula] --not yet, at least.

    If there are any books explaining these concepts to the intelligent laymen, I'm all ears.

    - Josh
  • James Barnett
    Not to rain on everyone's parade, but this sounds just like proportional representation. Under this system of elections, these small, single-issue parties just gang up and form coalitions.
    Isn't that what basically have already? Extremists and centerists are in both parties and ideologues, like environmentalists and libertarians, play both parties more or less.
  • Javier Hidalgo
    Nicholas, interesting--my memory is a bit patchy, but I think Aristotle regarded elections as inherently oligarchical practices because elections are won or lost on the basis of merit, wealth, etc. Selection by lot on other hand is premised on the assumption that citizens are equally competent.

    I can't resist quoting Protagoras, in Plato's dialogue:

    "when the question relates to carpentering or any other mechanical art, the Athenians allow but a few to share in their deliberations...But when they meet to deliberate about political virtue, which proceeds only by way of justice and wisdom, they are patient enough of any man who speaks of them, as is also natural, because they think that every man ought to share in this sort of virtue"

    The lot system enshrined in practice the principle that all citizens were minimally competent to share in governance.
  • Nicholas Weininger
    For that matter, in this age of secure Internet everything, why make the legislature representative at all? Let every citizen be, if he/she chooses, a voting member of Congress, with the right to remotely cast a secret ballot on any proposed bill.

    People who wanted to save themselves the trouble of voting by themselves could pick someone else (anonymously if desired) to serve as their proxy. Likewise, if you wanted more influence for your views you could try to persuade others to pick you as their proxy; the one requirement would be that to serve as a proxy for others you would have to publicize your voting record. To put a bill up for consideration you'd have to get petition signatures from, say, 1% of the electorate, either directly or through proxies; to pass one you'd need a majority and a "quorum"/turnout threshold. We could retain an elected Senate to do the few things that actually require a physically present set of representatives, such as holding steroid hearings. :-)

    If this isn't quite technologically feasible now, within a generation it surely will be, and then what excuse will Congresscritters have for continued existence?
  • Nicholas Weininger
    The obligatory SF quote here is from Ken MacLeod, who in one of his "Engines of Light" books (I think it's the first, _Cosmonaut Keep_) has a society on another planet that chooses officials by lot (hierarchically: you get chosen by lot for a seat in your local assembly, which then chooses some of its members by lot for a seat in the regional assembly, etc). One of the characters from that society remarks that "Elections are *so* undemocratic," and you can see what she means.
  • Javier Hidalgo
    That should read: a way of selecting officials that is democratic, yet does away with elections altogether.
  • Javier Hidalgo
    Ah, now I understand what you're saying. The Athenian lot system is another radical example: a way of electing officials that is democratic, yet does away with elections altogether.
  • Yeah. I'm thinking of alternative democratic structures beyond different voting methods. All the methods you mention are ways of voting for representatives, for example. But also I'm interested in schemes, like Roberty Cooter's, that, instead of having a system where a single representative votes on a wide variety of issues, voters vote for single-issue representatives in overlapping single-issue jurisdictions. Or systems of direct referendum voting, etc. Or systems where voters can trade votes. Or even a system where there is lower threshold for constitutional amendment. These different democratic institutional structures can be combined with various different voting procedures like the ones you mention. I think you end up with wildly different outcomes. And that leads to the question of justification. It's simply not good enough to say that a system is legitimate because it is democratic. One has to justify the choice of one democratic system, which will bias the system in favor of certain kinds of outcomes, over another, which will bias the system in a different direction.
  • Javier Hidalgo
    Mackie is refering to plurality, Borda, Condorcet, Bentham, Hare, Copeland, Coombs, and culminative methods of voting. There are others out there, but these are probably the mostly widely discussed methods. To be sure, there are some differences in outcomes when different voting methods are used. However, Mackie suggests that the differences are much smaller than Riker and other social choice theorists believed.
  • Thanks, Javier. I'll take a look. My guess is that Mackie's definition of "reasonable voting method" must be pretty tendentious.
  • Javier Hidalgo
    Will, I recommend chapter 3 of the book Democracy Defended by Gerry Mackie. After an extensive literature review of the existing evidence, Mackie concludes "Riker's conjecture is that it is not the case that most of the time most reasonable voting methods lead to mostly the same outcomes. The evidence at hand is overwhelmingly that the conjecture fails."

    Worth a look.
  • bago
    Not to sound pedantic or anything, but awareness of constraints will invariably alter behavior, as that winds up being additional data to use in any decision matrix.
  • bago
    Wait, you mean self-awareness changes behaviour? Astounding!
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