Too Rich for Our Own Good

by Will Wilkinson on August 5, 2004

There’s lots of good stuff today on the extremely pressing problem of being too rich. Julian notes the lousy Barry Schwartz essay at TNR. Arnold Kling takes on Robert Frank at TCS.

supermarket foods.gifThe arguments basically come down to something like, “The value of the marginal dollar declines, but people irrationally keep working to get dollars, which they really want less than lots of stuff they could have, therefore. . . a single-payer national heatlh care system (or whatever one would like to see the government do.) Now, I take the premises seriously, and really don’t think there is any good reason to believe that people always know what is in our interest, or always behave rationally. However, the conclusions to Schwartz/Frank-style arguments remain shining examples of the bowel-loosening non sequitur.

The first response to the S/F arguments ought to be that they’ve really missed the hard nugget of wisdom at the heart of the theory of public choice. The nugget is not that people are rational utility maximizers, which is certainly false, or that politicians are vote maximizers, or that bureacrats are budget maximizers, or whatever. The hard nugget is that the nature of human behavior is general, and that a theory that applies to market behavior is going to apply to political behavior, too. I call this, pithily enough, the principle of behavioral uniformity. The blatently ideological and sub-scientific character of this kind of research is manifest in the failure to apply a general theory generally and to question the ability of voters to know what is in their interests and to make rational and not self-defeating choices in the voting booth. Why don’t Frank and Schwartz discuss the likelihood that politicians and policymakers will stay apprised of psychological research about well-being, or will be motivated to act in accordance with their compendious understanding of the mainsprings of happiness?

Nothing follows about policy from the fact that people make sub-optimal choices, and it’s an intellectual fraud to pretend that it does.

In his NRO essay, Schwartz writes:

The point is simply that we now know there is some significant subset of people likely to be made better off through heavier taxation, and that these people reside at the top end of the wealth distribution. Given that a concern for people’s welfare has traditionally been one of the chief moral objections to taxing wealth (at least among those sympathetic to redistribution in principle), a policy of heavier taxation for the very wealthy may be the only moral course of action.

The point is simply that we don’t know this. To say that people would be happier if they had fewer choices is not to say that they will be happier if they are stripped of choices. We know that people are very very loss averse, and so increased taxation may well be a deep source of grievance, anxiety, and agitation, even if things would have gone better for the poor rich sods if they’d never gotten that rich in the first place. If people are in general happier with fewer than four children, you do not make them better off by stripping them of excess offspring and shipping Jan, Bobby, and Marcia off to the homes of sad, childless couples.

The flailing Kierkegaardian leap to state solutions when faced with problems of choice in a culture of plenitude is evidence of not only sloppy thinking (for there is no reason to think state action will improve upon private action) but of badly retarded imagination. The future belongs to those who seize what is in effect a huge entrepreneurial opportunity.

  • Robert Campbell
    Juding from his TNR Online article, Barry Schwartz simply believes in rule by experts...and he expects psychologists like himself to be rated highly among the experts. (Daniel Kahneman would hasten to add that psychologists will indeed be in a position to shape policy, so long as they reconcile themselves to advising the economists.)

    Has Schwartz done any studies about the errors that unelected government bureaucrats and their advisors are prone to? Do NIH and NSF provide grant funding for such studies?

    In any event...

    According to the article in the Guardian that Dan cites, focus groups in Britain don't want to have to choose among health providers. Would Schwartz conclude from this that young Americans would be subject to less stress if monopoly districts were defined around every state univesity, so that only prospective students who met a requirement of long-term residency in the district could be admitted? Think of burdens that would be lifted from them and their families...

    Robert Campbell
  • Dan
    Your principle of behavioral uniformity sounds like one of the most depressing principles ever. People suffer from their irrationality and there's nothing anyone can do to improve their condition because they're all irrational people too.

    Actual psychology research looks at the possibility of fixing or getting around people's biases. People are bad with probabilities, but if you teach them to use frequencies instead then they become less bad. Students tend to do worse work because they procrastinate, but they can improve their work if they set binding deadlines for themselves. Doctors show the same bias as everyone else at attending to sunk costs, except when asked about questions relating to medicine, in which case they tend to respond rationally. So people can act more rationally by learning how to think with less bias, by making "meta-decisions" to put themselves in a situation where their bias will be less harmful, or simply by gaining expertise in the relevant subject matter.

    Thus, the forms of bias particular to government do not unfailingly mirror the biases in the population that could potentially make government action useful. It's at least conceivable that the government could actually function rationally enough for it to create policies that compensate for people's irrationality and improve their welfare.

    So, why isn't Barry Schwartz writing about the question of whether policy-makers will know enough about the psychology of well-being and act rationally enough to make good policy? Maybe it's because his expertise is in psychology, not politics. Maybe it's because he doesn't want to create a self-fulfilling prophecy about the un-implementability of the improvements to government policy that he is advocating. Or maybe he's just too busy explaining the latest developments in the psychology of well-being to the British government.
  • I think that something follows about policy from the fact that people make sub-optimal choices: People can fall for well-crafted, fraudulent, policy prescriptions that purport to be in their interest.
  • Rob
    Well, woops, my mistake. NRO and NRO are the same -- but then not the same -- thing.
  • Rob
    Will, dude -- you realize that should read TNR Online for Schwartz's essay, right? It's a mistake I suppose easy enough to make when beating up conservatives becomes so commonplace that associating the concept "lousy essay" with NRO becomes perfunctory.

    In any event, good to see you and Julian (for once?) going after lefties. How refreshing.
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